Clock Cleaners

We'll clean your clock for a reasonable fee. (Also well versed in wagon repair)

Monday, September 7, 2009

Public Opinion: The news is unreliable at best

When dropping my daughter off at school this week, my wife saw a reporter with camera crew approaching parent after parent, exchanging only a handful of words and then moving on.

When they reached my wife, they asked if she was for or against the plan for the President to address the nations schoolchildren with his "stay in school" message. On hearing that she supported the message, the reporter said "we already have that; we're trying to find an opposing opinion" and moved on.

I think they're missing the point.

Doesn't it misrepresent the public opinion to show 1 supporting and 1 opposing view on the news if you have to wade through dozens of supporting views to find that lone dissenter? The report should be "overwhelming majority of locals support the plan", not "here's one supporting/1 dissenting view".

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Friday, August 21, 2009

Obama poster parodies

This stuff is dated, but I liked all these Obama "Hope" poster parodies that I just stumbled across:


Apparently, making these posters is a popular pasttime.

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Friday, June 5, 2009

Toll Brothers: lying doesn't win customers

I just received an email from Toll this morning advertising their Magic Moment campaign - buy a house by the 7th and get a special low rate. Never mind that today is the 5th. I'm thinking that 2 days isn't enough time to deliberate and select a region & home to move your family in to - this is a half-million-dollar purchase, not an impulse item.

They go one to quote an $18,000 tax credit in bold red letters. Never mind that the California state rebate plan is out of funds, and the federal plan will expire faster than Toll can build you a house and close escrow.

The California state program is disappointing - the credit is supposed to last a full year (until Mar 2010), but in under 2 months of availability, they've received applications covering 75% of the available budget.

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Saturday, March 21, 2009

brilliant Married to the Sea

This was a pretty great Married to the Sea comic from earlier this year:

http://www.marriedtothesea.com/mtts-archives/mttsarchive-jan09.php


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Monday, March 2, 2009

American traders: Obama to blame for economy?

I like to watch the djia at google finance at least once a week, but one thing keeps confusing me: the 'discussions' section seems to be completely filled with people bitterly attacking the current president for every job loss, DOW slide, or other negative economic condition.

I'm confused because these people often know their stuff: if you corner them and ask what caused the economic collapse, they can tell you the story of bad lending, low-rated mortgages combined into larger packages and sold with high security ratings, they might talk about big swings in the giant pool of money by China & India, but all of these things will cover the last 6 years of the housing market.

I can't figure out how they reconcile years of factors leading to a problem with the last 5 weeks of Obama's tenure as President. Shouldn't they be mad at banks for doing terrible risk management, or previous presidential administrations for lack of oversight & regulation of banks?

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Tuesday, December 30, 2008

The US Army knows torture breeds terrorism

Bruce Schneier posted this article where Matthew Alexander, an American special operations interrogator in Iraq, says:
I learned in Iraq that the No. 1 reason foreign fighters flocked there to fight were the abuses carried out at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo. Our policy of torture was directly and swiftly recruiting fighters for al-Qaeda in Iraq. The large majority of suicide bombings in Iraq are still carried out by these foreigners. They are also involved in most of the attacks on U.S. and coalition forces in Iraq. It's no exaggeration to say that at least half of our losses and casualties in that country have come at the hands of foreigners who joined the fray because of our program of detainee abuse.
You can read the rest: http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2008/12/matthew_alexand.html

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Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Republicans want it both ways

I don't understand why the conservatives are so wishy-washy about oversight. When it comes to our schools, they want teachers on a short leash: No Child Left Behind has huge oversight, rigorous testing, and a centralized curriculum, leaving educators little room to use their judgement & expertise to teach their own students the things they are ready for in a method that's best for them.

However, when it comes to business, we get bills like the first 700 billion dollar bailout bill, we get language that grants spending power to an appointed individual with no oversight, restrictions, or reports.

Why does our congress trust CFOs and businessmen with $700bil of our money, but they don't trust our schoolteachers with their paltry portion of the $56bil spent annually on education? [citation] Maybe our schoolteachers aren't contributing to politicians campaign funds the way wall street can.

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Tuesday, October 21, 2008

What I'm Reading Now: David Copperfield

My current book is very famous, and very boring. Most of it seems to be summed up by: David settles in to a new home, meets some uninteresting people, has to leave for some reason. Then repeat ad nauseam.

It also doesn't help that David isn't that likable. He makes friends with people in difficult situations, and makes no effort to help them. He just moves on to the next location, not fretting much about his friends problems.

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Monday, October 20, 2008

Powell endorses Obama, bloggers make fools of themselves

The top headline on Reddit today: Powell's Endorsement of Obama Proves Race Will Play Major Role in Election ( link here ).

I think that's bullshit, and I bet Colin Powell is particularly angry to see these comments. Basically, no African-American can support Barack without being accused of doing so because of race, just as no woman could support Hilary Clinton in the primaries without being accused as doing so because of sex. While some voters certainly do use those associations as reasons to pick candidates, that accusation should not be made toward any individual without supporting evidence.

My viewing of Powell's comments about the race this morning showed him giving evidence to the contrary, specifically listing issues that he had with the McCain campaign. (youtube video)

This blogger,

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Friday, October 17, 2008

Buy Low, Sell High

Warren Buffet gets it. He says:

"I’ve been buying American stocks. ... Why? A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful."

It's like what I've been telling friends - that anyone with any cash available to do so should jump on this weak market now, before confidence returns and prices are restored to previous levels. Warren says this too:

"Let me be clear on one point: I can’t predict the short-term movements of the stock market. ... What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over."

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/opinion/17buffett.html?_r=2&th&emc=th&oref=slogin&oref=slogin

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Sunday, October 12, 2008

What I'm Reading Now: My American Journey

I'm reading "My American Journey", and I hope it's unabridged. It's marginally entertaining, but mostly is just a history of Mr. Powell getting military promotion after military promotion, with little else of note.

There's a little detail of the Iran contra scandal, some discussion of the gulf war (Desert Shield), but I'd like if it were written later and talked more about the GWB WMD crusade.

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Friday, October 10, 2008

Morning fun: watch the DJIA fall

Every morning lately, I take a look at the Dow-Jones Industrial Average, and have noticed that sustained impressive daily losses over a work week have created this cartoonish graph of the market:



I remember a year ago I was given the option of connecting my health savings account with the market, I decided it was too risky to gamble with the money I need to pay for medication and doctor bills. That was a lucky decision - the DJIA has dropped 42% since then.

Another interesting view: the market is now 3% lower than it was 10 years ago, eliminating all gains made in a decade. I don't even want to check the status of my 401k.

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Friday, October 3, 2008

What it takes to immigrate into the USA

Wow, this immigration-to-the-USA diagram from the October issue of Reason is very interesting, and well drawn. Why exactly do we draw lines around the globe to limit how people can live and be governed, anyway? Having your freedom limited by your birth seems a leftover from feudalism that should be eliminated.

Click through for full view:



Heavy-handed immigration laws inhumane and anachronistic. We should consider how we can manage & improve the world for all human beings, not only for people arbitrarily born near us.

I think that makes patriotism bad as well. Contemporary scholar of ethics, Paul Gomberg, makes the obvious comparison between patriotism and racism. You can't put your country & compatriots first unless you put others second. That's clearly prejudice, if not strictly racist, but just as unethical.

[ original here and here ]

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Monday, September 29, 2008

Googletalk & AIM becoming officially compatible?

Google linked up their arguments to allow the Yahoo-Google ad deal to go through without government regulation. I was actually most surprised by slide #8, which reads that "Yahoo! will enable interoperability with Google instant messaging".

Does this mean Yahoo Instant Messenger will use jabber, and as such, talk to any jabber client?

This may be the first good news for googletalk since it was launched, as Google doesn't seem to be doing any work to update it or add features.

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Sunday, September 28, 2008

1st Presidential Debate

I've been watching it on youtube here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-nNIEduEOw I'm trying to be unbiased - which is easy, since I haven't investigated much into either candidates platform, so I'm genuinely eager to hear their opinions.

At 20:00 in, John McCain says "I want to provide a tax break of $5,000 so every American family can buy their own health care..." That scares me - does he want to set the precedent that the individual buys his health care, not the business or government?

I checked with Kaiser recently, when my business changed their health plan and I was suddenly faced with many more expensive options. I found the cheapest plan they had available for my standard-sized (or even small) family of four cost over $10,000 per year. Note that's the cheapest available kaiser plan, and that's just to enroll. Of course I'd still pay more than that every time I visited, or needed drugs, or had any procedures - it's not 100% coverage with no deductible.

That $5k won't help me care for my 3 dependants. Furthermore it would only be a change for people right now - in future years, new employees won't have a before/after picture to see a $5k tax break. They will just start new jobs at new salaries, where businesses are not concerned about their health, and they'll have 100% of the burden on them immediately.

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Thursday, September 11, 2008

Senator accuses cell carriers of price-fixing on SMS pricing

Wow, this is great. Wisconsin Senator Herb Kohl is basically accusing cell carriers of price-fixing on SMS fees.

I don't use SMS and don't like it - but that's because my smartphone groks email and IM. I understand SMS for the majority of cell users who don't have these capabilities.

...but whether or not I use a service, I don't like to see the public getting gouged, and I always thought it was nuts that I could get tons of (or even unlimited) minutes to talk time at a fixed low rate but have to pay a few dimes for every SMS message. The carrier's cost of SMS is a few bytes per message, and doesn't have to be transmitted at a constant rate. However, a voice call requires multiple kilobytes per second on a secured, reliable, constant rate of transmission - that's a significantly higher burden on the carrier's network than an SMS.

Clearly SMS charges are a sham. ...now, it could be the case that cell providers prop up low monthly fees with SMS fees. If so, reducing or eliminating SMS fees would increase monthly fees - but at least you would be paying the right amount for the right service.

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Tuesday, June 17, 2008

FTC: Here to protect consumers, after it protects business

I'm a little annoyed with the Federal Trade Commission for pulling the plug on their credit card review service for consumers. Months ago, when visiting their website, I found a comprehensive spreadsheet of available banks offering credit cards. The spreadsheet compared all the important details - APR, hidden fees, credit report rating necessary to acquired the card, et cetera.

Apparently it's all been yanked - now they just have tips for choosing cards. Why take this information down? If it's out of date, it should be updated. If there's no funding to update it, it should be marked as historical, but not deleted. I hope the reason is not because the FTC is more interested in protecting predatory lenders than consumers.

The FTC talks about avoiding credit card fraud, too, but I had a laugh at this instruction:

Carry your cards separately from your wallet, in a zippered compartment, a business card holder, or another small pouch.

Wait - a wallet is a "small pouch" with "compartments" and "card holders". They just defined a wallet for you to put your cards in, while telling you not to put your cards in your wallet. ...so I should just carry two wallets? ...and I should put a sign on one pocket telling pickpockets that I prefer if they steal the neutral wallet? good tip. Thanks, FTC.

I had my cards stolen by a thief once who made some charges to my account and used my identity to get credit on a number of purchases. You know what my biggest problem was? My bank decided I wasn't honest with them when I reported my card stolen, so they didn't follow the proper practices that would protect me. Instead they decided I had just lost my card, and issued a new one. Thanks, Wells Fargo. Customers love when you call them liars and don't take security seriously.

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Sunday, June 15, 2008

Judge Alex Kozinski isn't a pervert

I've done a fair amount of IT work. That means I get into a lot of people's computers. Even when I'm not doing IT work, I'm working with people who like to forward blond jokes, silly pictures, and juvenile flash animations. ...but when doing IT work, I often see people's folders where they save all that nonsense.

I don't care for the raunchy or slapstick jokes that are usually included, but I know they are extremely common and mostly harmless.

So when I hear about Judge Alex Kozinski having a website full of pornography, but they start describing it as "guess who is the transvestite" flash animations and "bush for president" joke pictures showing womens pubic area, it sounded like people over-reacting.

This guy isn't a pervert running a porn site, he's just a regular guy who gets a lot of dumb email-forwards. I just read that Lawrence Lessig seems to feel the same way. ...especially since a lot of the forwards apparently weren't even to him (it was a shared folder with others).

The media just isn't reliable enough or knowledgeable enough to accurately report on this stuff. I'm not sure we can trust the blogosphere much more than the news stations, of course.

I like Cory Doctorow's comment on it:
But I also wonder if all the MySpace/Digg/Fark users in the world will give the judge a knowing wink, and we can all finally stop being hypocrites?

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Friday, June 13, 2008

Boumediene v. Bush: justice Kennedy lays it down

I'm glad about the ruling in Boumediene v. Bush, and have been pleased with a few quotes I've seen from the opinion of the court written by justice Kennedy.

I've heard a lot of the opposing viewpoint, and want to list my thoughts below.

Here are some important source documents:

You can read the syllabus and the decision on the web: syllabus of Boumediene v. Bush

You can also see how the framers of the US government thought a fair society should be built, based on the Declaration of independence, the bill of rights, and the constitution.

Boumediene v Bush is about people captured in Afghanistan and abroad that the government says are dangerous and can be held indefinitely, without trial, and without the right of habeas corpus (to seek relief of illegal detention). Bush says it's legal because a majority-Republican congress passed a bill in 2005 that read:

the President is authorized “to use all necessary and appropriate force against those nations, organizations, or persons he determines planned,authorized, committed, or aided the terrorist attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, or harbored such organizations or persons, in order to prevent any future acts of international terrorism against the United States by such nations, organizations or persons.”
But the Bill of Right says:
"No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a Grand Jury, except in cases arising in the land or naval forces, or in the Militia, when in actual service in time of War or public danger; nor shall any person be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb; nor shall be compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself, nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation."
And the declaration of independence says:
"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness."

I read that to mean that, until we tear up the constitution, a person can't be imprisoned unless his crime is presented before a jury and he's given due process of law. Amendment 6 even guarantees the trial will be speedy and public (not secret tribunal).

Some would argue that these only apply to citizens, but I see no way of claiming a foreign person is less deserving of rights than a local - otherwise we don't hold those truths to be self-evident.

Others would argue that it makes allowances during times of war, but the USA is not at war with Afghanistan, and the petitioners are not citizens or soldiers of any nation with which the USA could be at war. If we were at war, then they are P.O.W.s. I cover that below.

If the government detains dangerous criminals, the government must have reason to believe they are criminals. They can show that reason (evidence) to a judge or jury and rule on their punishment if convicted. With no evidence, and no jury, there is nothing proving that the government is not detaining innocent people - this should be unacceptable to any reasonable person.

Some may argue that Guantanamo bay detainees are P.O.W.s and may be treated differently than citizens. However, the USA must actually be at war to hold prisoners of war. We're not at war. Some argue we're at war on Terror. We're not. Hostage-takers are terrorists. The police have been handling them since Hammurabi etched some laws on tablets. That's not war.

If there was a war on terror, the war would never be over, as there are always potential terrorists at home and abroad. That would completely eliminate the 5th amendment to the constitution. Article 7 states that an amendment may not be eliminated without a 2/3 vote in both houses of congress.

But we can play devil's advocate. Let's say Guantanamo bay detainees are POWs even though they aren't. That would mean they are subject to protections agreed upon at the third geneva convention:
They "shall in all circumstances be treated humanely," and "the following acts are and shall remain prohibited: violence to life and person; cruel treatment and torture; humiliating and degrading treatment; the passing of sentences and the carrying out of executions without previous judgment pronounced by a regularly constituted court affording all the judicial guarantees which are recognized as indispensable by civilized peoples."
It's clear that Guantanamo detainees are not having sentences carried out with judgment pronounced by a regular constituted court affording all judicial guaranties recognized by civilized people - a direct violation of the 3rd Geneva Convention.
The last argument left for conservatives is that the detainees are neither POWs nor citizens - they are enemy combatants. The International Criminal Tribunal disagrees (and so do I), citing it's interpretation of the Geneva conventions:
"Every person in enemy hands must have some status under international law: he is either a prisoner of war and, as such, covered by the Third [Geneva] Convention, a civilian covered by the Fourth [Geneva] Convention, or again, a member of the medical personnel of the armed forces who is covered by the First Convention. There is no intermediate status; nobody in enemy hands can be outside the law."
George Bush can't just make up terms with which to classify people so that he can act outside of the law. It's a travesty that so many Americans think he can, and it's an assault on our constitution that over 40% of the supreme court thinks he can delete habeas corpus at will. Anyone who loves America should be outraged at our administrations attacks on America's core values.

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